BTC Up or Down Β· 5-minute sweeper

Loading… Paper Chainlink Polymarket Bot Stream
BTC / USD Β· Chainlink Data Streams
No feed
waiting for first report
BTC TWAP Β· Chainlink
No feed
waiting for the first average
Up Β· market value
β€”
bid / ask
Down Β· market value
β€”
bid / ask
Order-book imbalance
β€”
consolidated book
Window closes in
β€”
β€”
Bankroll Β· paper
β€”
starting stake
P&L Β· today
β€”
all time
Windows won
β€”
settled windows
Fees paid
β€”
taker fees
Signal Β· this window
β€”
waiting for the entry band
Position
flat
no resting order

BTC / USD · 5-minute candles

closed up closed down models call it

One candle per market window, folded from the same Chainlink ticks the window chart above draws — so a candle is a window, and its direction is the one the window resolves on: blue closed up, orange closed down. Select a candle to load that window onto the rest of the page. The axis is wall-clock time, so a stretch nothing was recorded for shows as a gap rather than being closed up.

BTC / USD during this window

bot fill

Chainlink Data Streams benchmark price. The gray rule is the window's TWAP open β€” the level this market settles against.

Up & Down market value

Up mid Down mid bot fill

Mid price of each outcome, in probability terms (0–1).

BTC drift from open

β€”
above 0 Β· up from open below 0 Β· down from open bot fill

Live price minus the window open, in dollars, one point per Chainlink report (about one a second). The zero baseline is the open β€” which side of it the fill sits on is the whole question the window settles. The dashed line is the settling average against its own open, which is the level this market actually resolves on: it lags the fill by design, so the gap between them is the move spot has already made and the average has yet to pay out. The dotted line is the local reconstruction of it.

Order-book imbalance

above 0 Β· bid-heavy below 0 Β· ask-heavy bot fill

(bid quantity βˆ’ ask quantity) Γ· total, in [βˆ’1, +1]. Buying Down at p is selling Up at 1βˆ’p, so the consolidated book merges both legs into one synthetic Up book. This is the whole signal: the bot only sweeps a side the consolidated book already leans toward, and only in the last 30 seconds, where that lean is a forecast rather than a position.

Bot fills

β€”

Every simulated fill, with the state that justified it. Fills inside the window on the price charts are marked there too. Select a row to load its window.

No fills yet.

P&L curve

β€”
above 0 Β· in profit below 0 Β· under water

Realised P&L, cumulative from zero, running through the settled windows in the order they traded. The right-hand end is the all-time figure in the tile above.

P(touch open before close)

β€”
touches the open wrong side at the close bot fill

The same figure the meter on the TWAP hero fills, replayed across the window β€” one simulation every 5 seconds off the tick series, on the axis it is read against everywhere else. The market resolves on twap close above twap open, so a side is only ever lost by the settling average coming back through that one level: the solid line is the share of simulated paths that touch it before the bell, the dashed one the share that finish on the wrong side of it. Settlement is always the lower of the two, and the gap between them is the danger that is real but temporary β€” paths that cross the open and cross back in time. The rule is the bar the bot is judging this instant against; a fill under it is a position it thought safe.

Up order book

Top levels; bar length is size relative to the largest shown.

Waiting for book…

Down order book

Top levels; bar length is size relative to the largest shown.

Waiting for book…

Traded windows

β€”

Settled positions, newest first. Select a row to load it.

No windows traded yet.

Order log

Every quote the bot placed, moved or pulled, and why.

Nothing quoted yet.

Why it stood aside

β€”

The gate that stopped an entry, counted per second inside the entry band. Standing aside is the normal state; the rows marked signal was clear are not β€” those are trades the strategy wanted and something else refused.

Nothing recorded yet.

Recent windows

Every window the bot watched, traded or not. Select a row to load it.

No windows recorded yet.